Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
-2.11) 
1.32) 
