Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
41.8% ( -2.11)	28.18% ( 1.32)	30.01% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-3.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13% (

-4.45)

59.87% (

4.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86% (

-3.52)

80.13% (

3.52)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-3.17)

28.24% (

3.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-4.2)

63.94% (

4.19)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

-1.77)

35.86% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.37% (

-1.86)

72.63% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Newport County 41.8%

Tranmere Rovers 30.01%

Draw 28.18%

Newport County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.98) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.56) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 1.58) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 1.18) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.99% Total : 30.01%