Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
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