SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
27.35% ( -0.06) | 25.92% ( 0.46) | 46.73% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( -1.87) | 52.74% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( -1.62) | 74.37% ( 1.62) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( -1.04) | 34.12% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( -1.14) | 70.81% ( 1.14) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.96) | 22.55% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -1.45) | 56.14% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.73% |
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