Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
