Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
