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League Two | Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland
CU

Rochdale
2 - 0
Carlisle

Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rochdale 0-2 Carlisle United

These teams are in completely different form right now, which is why Carlisle United head into this game as the firm favourites to take all three points. They have been strong defensively, while proving themselves to have attacking options too, and that could be what separates them both in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
43.6%27.09%29.31%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78%56.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74%77.27%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84%71.16%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 43.6%
    Carlisle United 29.31%
    Draw 27.09%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Newport
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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