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League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
ST

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Swindon

Jennings (88'), Finney (90+4')
Murray (56'), Sylla (64'), Pruti (76'), Sterry (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSwindon Town
29.35% (-0.455 -0.45) 25.34% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 45.31% (0.473 0.47)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.154 -0.15)49.27% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-0.14 -0.14)71.32% (0.139 0.14)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.405 -0.41)30.79% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.481 -0.48)67.07% (0.47999999999999 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.149 0.15)21.74% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (0.23 0.23)54.91% (-0.231 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 29.35%
    Swindon Town 45.3%
    Draw 25.34%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.35%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 10.21% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-3 Walsall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Newport
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Swindon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two


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