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League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
HU

Newport
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Bogle (17'), Demetriou (44')
Bogle (61'), Demetriou (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sylla (58')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Newport
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHartlepool United
51.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 22.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)53.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.029 0.03)75.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.034000000000006 0.03)20.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.052 0.05)53.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)38.59% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.33% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 51.91%
    Hartlepool United 22.81%
    Draw 25.26%
Newport CountyDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Newport
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 3-0 Northampton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Newport
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-4 Hartlepool
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two


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