Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
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