Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
44.14% ( -0.21) | 26.65% ( -0) | 29.2% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% ( 0.1) | 54.6% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% ( 0.09) | 75.94% ( -0.09) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.41% ( -0.06) | 24.59% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.92% ( -0.08) | 59.08% ( 0.08) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( 0.22) | 33.67% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( 0.24) | 70.32% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.2% |
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