Gillingham will take some confidence into this game considering they won the reverse fixture earlier this season, but this is still going to be a tough test.
The visitors have not gained three points on the road yet in the 2022-23 campaign, and that is unlikely to change on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
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