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League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
CU

Sutton
1 - 0
Colchester

Milsom (45+9' pen.)
Randall (69'), Kizzi (90+5')
Boldewijn (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (18'), Ashley (45+1'), Tchamadeu (69'), Tovide (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Colchester United

With both sides focused very much on caution and limitation as a means to gain results, and with neither side being flushed for goals this season, it is hard to see past the likelihood of a draw this weekend. Randall's potential absence will be a big loss for Sutton in attack, whilst Colchester may find a draw away from home to be worth grinding out for at Gander Green Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
50.22% (0.276 0.28) 27.1% (-0.101 -0.1) 22.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.199 0.2)60.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.151 0.15)80.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.215 0.22)24.18% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.305 0.31)58.51% (-0.303 -0.3)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)42.47% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)78.84% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 50.2%
    Colchester United 22.68%
    Draw 27.1%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two


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