Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
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