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League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
MT
Salford City
1 - 2
Mansfield
Smith (22')
Ingram (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bowery (19'), Keillor-Dunn (37')
Reed (31'), MacDonald (44')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMansfield Town
23.81% (-0.22 -0.22) 21.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.51% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87% (-0.237 -0.24)37.12% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (-0.256 -0.26)59.32% (0.25 0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.304 -0.3)28.59% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.382 -0.38)64.38% (0.377 0.38)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)13.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)40.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 23.81%
    Mansfield Town 54.51%
    Draw 21.68%
Salford CityDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 23.81%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Salford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 4-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-3 Salford City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Everton U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, October 14 at 12.30pm in League Two

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