SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
38.97% ( -1) | 24.67% ( 0.07) | 36.36% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.85% ( -0.22) | 44.15% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.47% ( -0.21) | 66.53% ( 0.21) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.59) | 22.56% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% ( -0.89) | 56.15% ( 0.89) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.41) | 23.92% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( 0.59) | 58.14% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.36% |
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