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League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
SC

Gillingham
3 - 1
Salford City

Mahoney (22'), Nichols (54'), Jefferies (62')
Clark (26'), Nichols (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (37')
Mallan (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Salford City

With Gillingham having lost their way in the league in recent weeks, Salford will sense an opportunity to catapult themselves back into contention. While we expect a fiercely-fought contest, the visitors could edge this contest, taking advantage of their hosts' lack of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
38.97% (-1.003 -1) 24.67% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 36.36% (0.933 0.93)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (-0.219 -0.22)44.15% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)66.53% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.592 -0.59)22.56% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.887 -0.89)56.15% (0.887 0.89)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.413 0.41)23.92% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.586 0.59)58.14% (-0.588 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 38.97%
    Salford City 36.36%
    Draw 24.67%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 4-4 Peterborough (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Salford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 4-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-3 Salford City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two


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