Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
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