Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
