Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.66) 
