Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.52) 
-0.02) 
