Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Salford City had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Salford City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
