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Thursday, March 28
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League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
DR

Sutton
2 - 0
Doncaster

Rowe (49'), Ajiboye (88')
Dennis (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nelson (80')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
48.66% (0.75 0.75) 27.1% (-0.134 -0.13) 24.24% (-0.619 -0.62)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.9% (0.030999999999999 0.03)59.1% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45% (0.022000000000002 0.02)79.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.366 0.37)24.41% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.517 0.52)58.83% (-0.519 -0.52)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (-0.555 -0.56)40.31% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (-0.508 -0.51)76.94% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 48.65%
    Doncaster Rovers 24.24%
    Draw 27.1%
Sutton UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 13.87% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 24.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 4-1 Doncaster
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two


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