Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.2) 
