Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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