SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
40.14% ( -0.8) | 25.4% ( 0.08) | 34.46% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -0.2) | 47.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -0.18) | 69.95% ( 0.18) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.49) | 23.57% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -0.71) | 57.63% ( 0.71) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( 0.34) | 26.69% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% ( 0.45) | 61.95% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.46% |
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