Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
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