Given their home record, it would be naive to write off Tranmere, despite the contrasting form of the two clubs. Nevertheless, we can only back Mansfield to come out on top in this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three as they continue to move closer to the automatic places.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.