SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.23% ( 0.17) | 25.97% ( 0.04) | 32.81% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( -0.23) | 50.56% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.21) | 72.48% ( 0.21) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.02) | 24.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( -0.02) | 58.61% ( 0.03) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.25) | 29.08% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.31) | 65% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.81% |
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