Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
0.01) 
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