Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.08) 
