Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0) 
0.01) 
