Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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