SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
48.7% ( 0.46) | 25.43% ( -0.07) | 25.87% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% ( 0.01) | 51.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% ( 0.01) | 73.54% ( -0.01) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.2) | 21.27% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( 0.31) | 54.2% ( -0.32) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.32) | 34.81% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.45% ( -0.33) | 71.54% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.87% |
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