SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.33% ( -0.04) | 24.08% ( 0.01) | 31.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.05) | 42.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( -0.05) | 65.01% ( 0.05) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0.04) | 19.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( -0.06) | 51.25% ( 0.06) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.01) | 25.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( -0.02) | 60.97% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.58% |
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