Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Spartans win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Spartans |
74.31% ( 0.11) | 16.56% ( 0.06) | 9.12% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 44.07% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% ( -0.88) | 42.71% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.89% ( -0.88) | 65.11% ( 0.88) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.08% ( -0.2) | 9.92% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.16% ( -0.46) | 32.83% ( 0.46) |
Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.92% ( -0.96) | 51.08% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.6% ( -0.66) | 85.39% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Spartans |
2-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 74.29% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.56% | 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.12% |
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