SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
29.06% ( -0.67) | 26.01% ( -0.13) | 44.94% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( 0.21) | 52.14% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.18) | 73.86% ( -0.18) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.39) | 32.5% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0.44) | 69.02% ( 0.43) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 0.47) | 23.13% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( 0.68) | 56.99% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.93% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
