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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
47.59% ( 0.03) | 25.3% ( -0.01) | 27.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.04) | 50.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( 0.04) | 72.33% ( -0.04) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( 0.03) | 21.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% ( 0.05) | 54.07% ( -0.05) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.01) | 33.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% ( 0.01) | 69.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.1% |
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