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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
56.03% ( -0.33) | 23.14% ( 0.14) | 20.83% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.34) | 47.25% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -0.31) | 69.48% ( 0.31) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.23) | 16.68% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -0.42) | 46.55% ( 0.42) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0) | 36.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( 0) | 73.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.83% |
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