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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
31.97% ( 0.34) | 25.31% ( -0.05) | 42.71% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( 0.36) | 48.01% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( 0.33) | 70.18% ( -0.33) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.4) | 28.37% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 0.5) | 64.11% ( -0.5) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.02) | 22.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.07% ( 0.03) | 55.93% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.71% |
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