Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colwyn Bay | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
53.38% ( -0.08) | 23.19% ( -0.01) | 23.43% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( 0.14) | 44.49% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( 0.13) | 66.86% ( -0.13) |
Colwyn Bay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% ( 0.02) | 16.63% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% ( 0.03) | 46.46% ( -0.03) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.06% ( 0.16) | 32.94% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.48% ( 0.17) | 69.52% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Colwyn Bay | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.38% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.43% |
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