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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 29, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
1 - 2
Aberystwyth

Atkins (88')
Owen (37'), Jones (37'), Cushion (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thorn (30'), Davies (90+1')
Canavan (44'), Lewis (50'), Thorn (54'), Evans (59'), Evans (59'), Woollam (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
53.38% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 23.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (0.137 0.14)44.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (0.134 0.13)66.86% (-0.131 -0.13)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.033999999999999 0.03)46.46% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (0.158 0.16)32.94% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48% (0.173 0.17)69.52% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 53.38%
    Aberystwyth Town 23.43%
    Draw 23.19%
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.38%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 4-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, February 24 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Barry
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Barry
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League


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