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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
36.1% ( 0.73) | 25.15% ( 0.29) | 38.75% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( -1.26) | 46.39% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( -1.2) | 68.68% ( 1.2) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -0.18) | 25.1% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( -0.25) | 59.8% ( 0.25) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( -1.08) | 23.67% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( -1.58) | 57.78% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.75% |
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