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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
46.26% ( -0.03) | 24.27% ( 0) | 29.47% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( 0.02) | 44.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( 0.02) | 66.86% ( -0.02) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% | 19.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.84% ( -0) | 51.16% ( 0.01) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( 0.03) | 28.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36% ( 0.04) | 64% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.47% |
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