SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
54.78% ( -0.1) | 23.42% ( 0) | 21.8% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( 0.09) | 47.27% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.09) | 69.49% ( -0.09) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0) | 17.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( -0) | 47.36% ( 0) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( 0.15) | 35.98% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% ( 0.15) | 72.76% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 54.78% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.3% 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.8% |
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