SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
37.55% ( 0.48) | 25.52% ( 0.07) | 36.93% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.3) | 48.05% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( -0.28) | 70.22% ( 0.28) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.13) | 25.06% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( 0.17) | 59.75% ( -0.17) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.44) | 25.4% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.61) | 60.22% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.93% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
