SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
46.38% ( -0.16) | 23.78% ( 0.15) | 29.84% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.66) | 42.06% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( -0.66) | 64.46% ( 0.67) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.32) | 18.36% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( -0.55) | 49.47% ( 0.55) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.31) | 26.81% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.42) | 62.1% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.55% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.84% |
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