Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
39.41% ( -0.47)	22.65% ( -0.05)	37.94% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 66.77% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66% (

0.32)

34% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.13% (

0.36)

55.87% (

-0.36)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

-0.07)

17.96% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-0.11)

48.8% (

0.11)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

0.37)

18.61% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.1% (

0.63)

49.9% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 39.41%

Brisbane Roar 37.94%

Draw 22.65%

Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 39.41%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.94%