SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varnamo |
53.86% ( -0.34) | 24.69% ( 0.21) | 21.45% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( -0.69) | 52.78% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( -0.6) | 74.41% ( 0.6) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.4) | 19.54% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( -0.66) | 51.45% ( 0.65) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.27) | 39.44% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( -0.26) | 76.14% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.45% |
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