SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Hearts |
22.05% ( -0.53) | 23.72% ( 0.02) | 54.23% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.64) | 48.26% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0.59) | 70.41% ( 0.59) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.85) | 36.3% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0.87) | 73.08% ( 0.87) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.04) | 17.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.66% ( -0.08) | 48.34% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 54.23% |
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