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A
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Garscube Sports Complex - Field 3
HL

Airdrieonians
1 - 4
Hearts

Frizzell (34')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Shankland (11', 73'), Vargas (18'), Nieuwenhof (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, February 2 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Airdrieonians 0-2 Hearts

Sunday's tie will certainly not be a straightforward one for the Premiership high-flyers, with their visitors full of confidence in the midst of an impressive run, but Hearts have momentum of their own and will fancy themselves to come out on top and progress to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawHearts
22.05% (-0.527 -0.53) 23.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 54.23% (0.512 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.728 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (-0.636 -0.64)48.26% (0.637 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (-0.586 -0.59)70.41% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (-0.851 -0.85)36.3% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.871 -0.87)73.08% (0.873 0.87)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)17.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)48.34% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 22.05%
    Hearts 54.23%
    Draw 23.72%
AirdrieoniansDrawHearts
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.05%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.63% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 54.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, February 2 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Partick
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Inverness
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Spartans 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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