Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
