Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 48.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Auxerre in this match.
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0.02) 
