Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.